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Crown Green Handicap

Alan Marsh

Team: Black HorseDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

820

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

17

Matches Played

5

Wins

12

Losses

29%

Win Rate

7.0

Avg Win Margin

7.6

Avg Loss Margin

3-7

Home Record

2-5

Away Record

7%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
11 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/11/2026

Only 11 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player3/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 17 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

9 May13 Jun18 Jul13 May17 Jun8 Jul26 Aug11 Aug-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
27%
score-0.45→contribution-0.18
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.3
score+0.06→contribution+0.01
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.6
score-0.10→contribution-0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
27%
score-0.45→contribution-0.05
Opponent Strength(10%)
802
score-0.69→contribution-0.07
Weighted Score-0.298
Sample Size Confidence
7%(11/41 matches)
Rating911 → shrunk 994→ adjusted 817
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)838
Recency Blend15% (11 recent matches)
Final Rating820
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

5W12L17 matches·29.4% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Black Horse2023–2026Division 3, Division 21751229.4%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/11/2026John KerrA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
6/3/2026John CritchleyH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
9/2/2025Tony PilkingtonA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
8/26/2025Ken BibbyH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
8/12/2025John WhiteH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
7/8/2025Nick BatesH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
7/1/2025Paul CulleyA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
6/17/2025Ronnie SextonA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
5/27/2025Andy TurnerH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
5/20/2025Greg WinstanleyH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
5/13/2025Alex WallaceA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
8/15/2023Eddie MiddlehurstH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
7/18/2023Alan BishopH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
7/11/2023Mike MulcrowA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
6/13/2023Ken ByromH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
5/30/2023P MurphyH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
5/9/2023Alan BishopA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LWLLL
Last 1020% win rate— steady
LWLLLLLWLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Alan Bishop11250%7/18/2023
John Kerr0110%8/11/2026
John Critchley101100%6/3/2026
Tony Pilkington0110%9/2/2025
Ken Bibby0110%8/26/2025
John White0110%8/12/2025
Nick Bates0110%7/8/2025
Paul Culley0110%7/1/2025
Ronnie Sexton101100%6/17/2025
Andy Turner0110%5/27/2025
Biggest Win
Ronnie Sexton (+13)6/17/2025
Heaviest Defeat
Tony Pilkington (-13)9/2/2025
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
38% → 22%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
76717 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
5-1229% win rate

By Division

Division 22-7 (22%)
Division 33-5 (38%)
Division 222.2%
2W·7L·9 played
Division 337.5%
3W·5L·8 played

Debut

May 9, 2023

Latest

Aug 11, 2026

Seasons Active

3 (3.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

5.7 (17 total)

Seasons

202320252026